First up, Andrew's Mordor list which will look familiar from our last outing.
The mission is assassination. My target is Kardush and my assassin is Erestor. Not sure why I didn't choose Boromir, to be honest, except that I assumed Andrew would focus on him.
In fact, as I found out quickly, Erestor was Andrew's target while the Troll Chieftain was his assassin.
Edited: Leaving my bad maths for posterity, but it's actually worse! Morannons are a very favorable matchup vs elves. An elf with the front line feinting and two-handing makes the fight roughly a coin toss with similar odds to win/wound.
- Statistically speaking a 2-deep battle line of elves (front rank and spear) vs a 2-deep battle line of Morannons (or any model with lower fight) has a 61% chance of winning. Followed by a mere 33% chance to roll a wound (Including a feint which doesn't add much).
- Conversely, the Morannons win 39% of their fights, but have a 44% chance of causing a wound (excluding special strikes)
- Thus, in any given fight elves have a 19% chance of causing a wound while Morannons have a 17% chance of causing a wound. Pretty even matchup- especially when you consider that elves are outnumbered.